Rants, Raves and Opinions AKA "The Octagon"

[QUOTE=JLZ61;5523486]What's your favorite bumper sticker?[/QUOTE]This "COEXIST" design. It transmits the message using both word and iconography, in the most efficient way.

I tried to see her in the notel in and Cincy but the manager knocked on the door as soon as I entered. He did me a favor. She was definitely on something and she was not worth the price she was asking. I could pick up something that trashed in any whole in the wall bar. I would have needed to close my eyes and imagine something else just get off.

[QUOTE=RogerOver;5523024]First, thanks for an honest review. I'm sure a bunch of her white knights don't like seeing this type of reality hits on their unicorn. You're off to a great start.

See? I'm not the only person that appreciates it.

And just ignore this guy. He's clearly her pimp, handler or thinks he is. He wants to be the one to share her number. There's no "unwritten" rules about his little petunia. She's all over the fucking Dayton boards and has even had an ad or two. She's about as UTR as any other drugged out or drunk hooker running around out there. Share her number with anyone you want.[/QUOTE]

[QUOTE=Dasap;5523597]I tried to see her in the notel in and Cincy but the manager knocked on the door as soon as I entered. He did me a favor. She was definitely on something and she was not worth the price she was asking. I could pick up something that trashed in any whole in the wall bar. I would have needed to close my eyes and imagine something else just get off.[/QUOTE]HA! Was the manager there for his payment, or tired of watching the parade of dudes showing up for this "low-volume UTR?

[QUOTE=RogerOver;5523620]HA! Was the manager there for his payment, or tired of watching the parade of dudes showing up for this "low-volume UTR?[/QUOTE]Was bitching about the endless traffic of her cousins, step brothers and uncles that were visiting.

[QUOTE=BengalMan;5523450]YoToo should be ashamed of yourself.

Go back in your cave.[/QUOTE]Being called pathetic by a Rino like you I consider a badge of honor. Don't be afraid to stand up to the big bad Socialist Democratic KKK bastards. They always hate when someone takes their inventory and they know it's true.

Thanks, I appreciate the feedback. Believe it or not, I wasn't trying to speak ill of Jodi or her supporters. I simply shared my experience and spoke to how that differed from the existing narrative. I truly hope, though, that those that do go and see her have a great time.

[QUOTE=RogerOver;5523024]First, thanks for an honest review. I'm sure a bunch of her white knights don't like seeing this type of reality hits on their unicorn. You're off to a great start.

See? I'm not the only person that appreciates it.

And just ignore this guy. He's clearly her pimp, handler or thinks he is. He wants to be the one to share her number. There's no "unwritten" rules about his little petunia. She's all over the fucking Dayton boards and has even had an ad or two. She's about as UTR as any other drugged out or drunk hooker running around out there. Share her number with anyone you want.[/QUOTE]

[QUOTE=YoTooBig;5523995]Being called pathetic by a Rino like you I consider a badge of honor. Don't be afraid to stand up to the big bad Socialist Democratic KKK bastards. They always hate when someone takes their inventory and they know it's true.[/QUOTE]The KKK endorses Republicans. It's not a secret. Everyone knows it. If you were to try to argue and debate this point, you'll just confirm what everyone thinks of you. In your case, it's best to adhere to that old saying, "It's better to keep your mouth shut and people think you're dumb, that to open your mouth and confirm it.

(I'm sure you're going to argue that the KKK was founded by Democrats. Although true, since the "big switch" in the 1920's and 1930's, the Klan has supported the GOP pretty consistently since then.).

Love that one as well. It's wicked cool. My kids are 7 and 10 and I fully intend to walk them through this when the time comes.

[QUOTE=DNut;5523496]This "COEXIST" design. It transmits the message using both word and iconography, in the most efficient way.[/QUOTE]

[QUOTE=DNut;5522674]There is a reason I chose wine-grape as a comparative analogy. I used products that are tied together, but whose prices can fluctuate independently over time. People think wine take years ito age and a cask. But in reality, it only takes a few months. Grape prices affect wine prices only on the production side. The cost to produce the wine ready to be bottled and sold now was set months ago. The same goes for oil and gas prices. Gas FUTURES are sold at rates that differ from the pump because it's more closely tied to oil prices today.

While they are related, they can fluctuate in the short term (such as gas price history looked at only in the last few months). I'm attached a chart I took from the link you provided, and stretched the query to 3 years. Although generally following the same pattern, Generally, in the short term, price fluctuations between oil and gas are such that there will be an inversion. Oil goes down, gas goes up, and vice versa. When looked at from a short sell standpoint, depending on how you bet your margins, it could be extremely profitable, or completely devastating.

As a sidebar, the concept of VAT (value added tax) was proposed and adopted by some countries as a way to negating the adverse short term effects of short term swings but taxing the added value at each stage of the process rather than 1 lump tax at the end of the production cycle.

Bottom line, the President doesn't control gas prices. Laymen will say, "but policies they set affect. " blah-blah-blah. No. It doesn't, and no they don't. Nobel prize winners can tell you that. In fact, one did. Nobel prize winner Richard Thaler explained it in his book "Misbehaving" when he discussed behavioral economics. Unless you yourself have a Nobel prize, I would listen to him.[/QUOTE]The policies of a president do not have a direct impact, but they can influence the future prices. Commodities trades use policy shifts as part of the determination of what & how much to pay for futures. It can happen on Pork, Beef, Oil, Precious Metals, & a long list of other items. So Biden cancels the pipeline. A couple of commodity brokers overreact & buy heavy on futures for gas. Others don't want to be left out so they do the same. That creates an artificial price increase. While the President did not dictate an increase, his change in policy influenced others who have a more direct link to the prices. Lack of economics being taught in our schools & the MSM skipping significant facts in the story influence many to believe that there is a direct link between the two.

[QUOTE=DNut;5524159]The KKK endorses Republicans. It's not a secret. Everyone knows it. If you were to try to argue and debate this point, you'll just confirm what everyone thinks of you. In your case, it's best to adhere to that old saying, "It's better to keep your mouth shut and people think you're dumb, that to open your mouth and confirm it.

(I'm sure you're going to argue that the KKK was founded by Democrats. Although true, since the "big switch" in the 1920's and 1930's, the Klan has supported the GOP pretty consistently since then.).[/QUOTE]Since you are a Socialist Democrat KKK member yourself Thanks for proving my point. You hate when someone points out your short comings. Look at all the major cities ran and controlled by Socialist Democratic KKK party. Their policies kill more black men every day then the KKK of old could kill on their best day. One of your KKK heroes LBJ New Deal in 1964 was their master plan, and so far it's working just as planned. Sorry if the truth hurts but deal with it cup cake. Remember Step 1 omitting you have problem is the only way to get better.

[QUOTE=WoodFordR69;5524570]The policies of a president do not have a direct impact, but they can influence the future prices. Commodities trades use policy shifts as part of the determination of what & how much to pay for futures. It can happen on Pork, Beef, Oil, Precious Metals, & a long list of other items. So Biden cancels the pipeline. A couple of commodity brokers overreact & buy heavy on futures for gas. Others don't want to be left out so they do the same. That creates an artificial price increase. While the President did not dictate an increase, his change in policy influenced others who have a more direct link to the prices. Lack of economics being taught in our schools & the MSM skipping significant facts in the story influence many to believe that there is a direct link between the two.[/QUOTE]The XL pipeline was still under construction so it's cancelation did not affect production, supply, or demand. You can try to claim it coulda-woulda-shoulda affected gas futures, but it didn't. It's completion was so tenuous that I doubt any real broker was betting their mutual funds on it. When Joe Biden won the election in early November, it's fate past January 20 was all but sealed (sealed the pipe, get it?

(I just knew someone was going to try using that policy argument. I called it. Maybe I should try my hand at futures. I seem to have a knack at predicting it.).

[QUOTE=WoodFordR69;5524570]The policies of a president do not have a direct impact, but they can influence the future prices. Commodities trades use policy shifts as part of the determination of what & how much to pay for futures. It can happen on Pork, Beef, Oil, Precious Metals, & a long list of other items. So Biden cancels the pipeline. A couple of commodity brokers overreact & buy heavy on futures for gas. Others don't want to be left out so they do the same. That creates an artificial price increase. While the President did not dictate an increase, his change in policy influenced others who have a more direct link to the prices. Lack of economics being taught in our schools & the MSM skipping significant facts in the story influence many to believe that there is a direct link between the two.[/QUOTE]Your explanation is right on! IMO, however, it could be argued that Biden's actions ARE a direct link since his actions caused the chain reactions that lead to the eventual price increase. It could also be argued that the commodity brokers did not "overreact", as you state, because Biden's actions on the pipeline signaled other actions that might be taken--I. E. , halting all drilling on public lands, his comments and desire for the "green new deal", etc. That's the kind of stuff that scares the hell out of commodity brokers.

[QUOTE=YoTooBig;5524614]Since you are a Socialist Democrat KKK member yourself Thanks for proving my point. You hate when someone points out your short comings. Look at all the major cities ran and controlled by Socialist Democratic KKK party. Their policies kill more black men every day then the KKK of old could kill on their best day. One of your KKK heroes LBJ New Deal in 1964 was their master plan, and so far it's working just as planned. Sorry if the truth hurts but deal with it cup cake. Remember Step 1 omitting you have problem is the only way to get better.[/QUOTE]Nah. Your hardon for the GOP is evident. But you should take your own advice. Admit your problem. The Klan loves the GOP. The Klan loves Trump. The Klan loves the wall. What the GOP loves is pretty much the same things the Klan loves. Embrace your truth. Oh, and Neo Nazis are in the GOP's corner too.

[URL]https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-trump-kkk/ku-klux-klan-newspaper-declares-support-for-trump-idUSKBN12X2IG[/URL]

[QUOTE=DNut;5524701]The XL pipeline was still under construction so it's cancelation did not affect production, supply, or demand. You can try to claim it coulda-woulda-shoulda affected gas futures, but it didn't. It's completion was so tenuous that I doubt any real broker was betting their mutual funds on it. When Joe Biden won the election in early November, it's fate past January 20 was all but sealed (sealed the pipe, get it?

(I just knew someone was going to try using that policy argument. I called it. Maybe I should try my hand at futures. I seem to have a knack at predicting it.).[/QUOTE]I fully realize we are splitting hairs here. Agree the pipeline was under construction. It's anticipated value helped depress future markets. Of course OPEC productions has an even larger impact on those futures.

Maybe my point on policy was not clear enough. I certainly think presidential policies have a link to market pricing. Trump's tariff increases had a rather direct impact on the imported goods that were now more expensive until domestic production could catch up to demand. In other cases like the pipeline, there is a link, a correlation, but not a causation. We could both probably accurately predict in many cases what will happen if the government makes a significant policy / law. I do it in the stock market every day. Policies are just one of the factors that impact the market.

[QUOTE=Kenal1;5524716]Your explanation is right on! IMO, however, it could be argued that Biden's actions ARE a direct link since his actions caused the chain reactions that lead to the eventual price increase. It could also be argued that the commodity brokers did not "overreact", as you state, because Biden's actions on the pipeline signaled other actions that might be taken--I. E. , halting all drilling on public lands, his comments and desire for the "green new deal", etc. That's the kind of stuff that scares the hell out of commodity brokers.[/QUOTE]On balance over the last few years, the US imports crude and exports refined products. Keystone was designed to take crude and bring it south to the refineries on the coast where it can be refined into fuels FOR EXPORT. For us mongers in the midwest, that would have the effect of INCREASING the price of our wasted 45 minute drives to the Ghost Notel.

Gas has gone up because we are driving again. I know we like to see gas at $1. 99, but when that happens, it means the economy has gone to crap.

P.S. I doubt the commodity brokers are scared of the green new deal. In fact, I think they salivate over the prospect.