RE: Supply and demand reprised
Very good point on K verses Craigs. I've done both with various reasons. It's a shame what's happened with Craigs, because you're right, there use to be many more ads. Although, it's also cleaned up the junk ads. Unfortunately, many girls don't use because of the very reason you mentioned is fear of LE.
I've used both Craigs and K and NJ(South). It all depends. If I have the time and it's a nice day, I liked to go to New Jersey. I kinda thought of it as a safer zone for a while (wild west). LE wasn't as tough and plenty of talent, very cheap. Recently, I've been forced to change that assessment because of the LE activity. So I won't be going there until the winds die down a bit and I feel like I won't get hasseled.
I used the K for a while before I found NJ and I've since gone back. I don't see as much as I did in NJ, but it's now safer. So I've gone back to the ol' hunting grounds.
I check craigs out because of convenience. Living west of KOP, it's a hike to do either NJ or Philly. Even when I went to either place there was no guarantee that anything would be found, so that becomes a *Tough Trip*. Even more so, when gas was close to $4 a gallon. Trips were costing me $15 - $20 depending on how long I stayed out searching.
Where I live, we use to have Norristown, but it's a wasteland now...anything you do find is very hard searched for and is only a fraction of the talent in Philly or NJ. So I either have to wait until I have 2 to 3 hours to kill or use another method. Craigs list does cost more but has a little more convenience due to time.
When I do use craigs, I usually drop 1.0. I never spend more because I don't think I need to. Recently, from what I'm seeing, I might be able to drop to .8 and .75 for the same service. Which for me is a good place.
With Craigs, I can be at their hotel usually in minutes. The hunting is done on-line and I can see the pictures. Sometimes they aren't what's advertised, but that has happened a few times.
The *Risk* is when you go to the room and you don't know if it's a sting, etc. This is what really gets me nervous. Once we're past that, it's nice, clean, private, and relaxing. After a while, you get to know who you can trust, because like the K, there are regulars.
I don't know how many other mongers routinely travel 80 minutes round trip to check things out, but sometimes it's nice not to make that trek.
When I factor in my travel time and degree of success (making an appointment verses find the right SW), it makes sense sometimes to use an escort.
SWs = .2 (room) + .4 (FS) + .1 (gas) + Time = .7 + Time (120 minutes)
Escort = 1. (Room + FS) + Time (10 minutes)
In any case, this has been my experience. I wish I was closer, then like you, I would stay on the ave. No reason for you to do anything else. Out where I live, sometimes it makes sense to use craigs every now and then.
Which is why I keep my eye on it. If supply and demand continue and drive the price downward, now we're talking a bargin for me. The equation becomes:
Escort = .80 (room + FS) + Time (10 minutes)
(which is now only .05 off from SWs cost)
Isn't amazing how the economy could change so much?
Of course, this is only from my perspective. Who else has a similar situation?
Great economic discussion
I just have a few comments on what we are seeing in the different scenes.
K Ave ( and most SW in SJ/Philadelphia area)
What has kept prices so low is the cost of narcotics which in real dollars has probably decreases since the crack epidemic. Most SW use either crack or heroine and those prices have not seen a significant increase in the last 20 years. If you bargain well you can get the same services for the same prices we were paying in the mid 90's. One of the other fact to realize is that most working people have seen relatively flat increases in pay since the late 90's. This keeps the price people are willing to pay down. Now the really ugly thing about SW is that there is a chemical dependency being fed which gives the monger the upper hand in almost every case. Many SW will just do as many dates as it takes to make X dollars. There are some who have their addictions relatively under control and will walk away from a low ball offer. In the end I think cost is mostly tied to how much they need to make.
CL
Since the advent of the $5 charge for posting an add a lot of the spam has disappeared. I have been told by a reasonably good source there is a way around supply traceable information when placing an add. So the smart ones can probably place adds without any added risk. The risk comes with the fact that now that there are fewer adds it is much easier for LE to pick out adds to bust. There are some local municipalities that seem eager to make these types of bust. KOP probably tops the list of the most dangerous place for providers though bust are occuring all over these days. I missed a bust by maybe as little as 10 minutes about 2 years ago at one of the notoriously dangerous hotels in KOP. I happen to get on an elevator with security on my way out as they seemed to be a little to busy in for a normal mid day. She was from a well know touring agency and I was able to confirm that she had been arrested. Cl has always been cheaper than most independents with their own websites and I think the prices do reflect the economy though I think most of the "new" providers may be from adjacent businesses. Not too many accountants start turning tricks to make ends meet but a stripper who has crossed the line a few times in a lap dance room might. Have you seen the business in SC lately. I see some of the weak ones closing. I think CL and backpage in this area are questionable but you can find some diamonds in the rough and since they usually do not have websites can be bargained with.
Agencies/Independents
There was great article on the economy in relation to Independents in Vegas which I will link if I can find it. To summarize, those in the middle where hurt the most. The low end Independents where seeing more business. The High end ones had clients who were not as financially troubled by the downturn in the economy. That seems to make sense to me. A simple example of how many things work in the US is gas prices. When gas prices go to $5 a gallon it is the person making 25K a year who is really hurt. The guy making 125K does not like the price but he can live with it. Even unemployment to this point is disportionality hitting those without college educations as the the real unemployment rate for those without is actually higher than the national average. The one caveat the article pointed to was that the high class lady interviewed was offering more services for her price than in the past. I think if you have been watching the other provider boards, about 1 1/2 years ago you would have seen that the average local independent was charging 300 per hour. Some were even charging 350. Today most of the locals are sitting on 250 advertised as "specials". I think we will see more of these specials but with these provides they are more apt to start offering more time or services than drop their prices lower. But what do I know! It really depends on how long this down turn last. I know that I am watching my spending closely.
Good read on the Economy and prostitution
This is a pretty good one mostly about Vegas.
[url]http://www.lasvegassun.com/news/2008/dec/14/economy-affects-supply-demand-some-special-twists/[/url]
Re: Great Economic Discussion
Runnow and Abcpanther bring up excellent points.
Runnow mentions that the price of narcotics has a great deal to do with SW pricing and the prices of narcotics have remained somewhat stable since the mid nineties, and that has a big influence on what drug dependent SWs will charge, as it relates to how much they need to make. This is a very salient point because the law of supply and demand assumes rational buyers and sellers, and clearly a chemically dependent SW is not totally such. The issue really does become how much business she has to do to make the X dollars she needs to feed her habit and how willing she is to do that. She will likely be chemically motivated within a great range of time she is willing to devote to her work, but there is a practical limit. However, this does raise another economic issue: the prices in any market are set by the most competitive sellers, so drug dependency and the cost of drugs does have a direct bearing on overall SW pricing, whether the SW is drug dependent or not.
Abcpanther mentions a particular issue that dramatically overshadows and keeps me away from independents and escort services, despite the pricing or quality or time commitment issues (all still worth discussing), and that is the legal risk. How close he came to being pinched in a sting is a forewarning to the wise. How easy is it for LE to post a fake ad in Craigs and just wait there with bait for mongers, or respond to an ad for an indoor place, bust it and sit on it to gather up the customers booked for the day and/or night. I saw a TV special where a vice squad in LA did that very thing and made 13 different arrests at one hotel room. There is virtually no way to protect yourself from this type of sting, and, if you have been following my running commentaries on entrapment, don't think that being clever about it in any way will be an adequate defense or save your fanny from a bust for solicitation.
They are There, Just have to spot them
[QUOTE=Bmac1981]Wanted to know if anyone had any tips for the K, Cruised the K last night for my very first time for about 2 hours with no luck. Only saw one or two SW. I wanted to know is their more activity on the weekend, or is it better to go during the day. Like I said I'm knew to the SW scene, but I do the escort thing and I frequent AMPs so maybe I can help someone with that.
Thanks![/QUOTE]I was on the K last night also from 5:00 PM to 8:00PM ( picked up Stacy, and later Deanna and spoke with a couple of others) and saw plenty, on my very first stroll I saw only a couple also, but after many trips I learned to spot many more, Like at the bus stop where they never get on the bus, or other gathering points to blend in, they are the ones that are there hour after hour while the other's leave, they are there just give them a good look and they will give you a look back, When you drive past, give them a look, if they look back, put your turn signal on so they see, and turn down the next street (make sure your going the right way down the one way streets) about 5 to 10 cars down and wait with your turn signal on as a signal to see who will come down the street to greet you, Just give them a little time, the better ones are more cautious, will check out the area first then make there way to see you. I had as many as 3 come up to the car at the same time ( I saw only one girl and gave her the nod but where the other 2 came from ?), I start talking talking to them, and pick the best one.
Of coarse the amount of girls will vary, like if there is heavy leo, or bad weather, but I see more girls during the week early evening, there may be more girls on the weekend, but alot more mongers picking them up, also more girls on the south end of the K.
Happy Hunting
By the way I know one of you mongers had to talk with her what was the story with the Cute Young Blond on lettery last night, I tried to do the pick-up but someone was always there talking with here, but never got picked up, I guess she was waiting for a appointment or something I tried 6 times last night but seemed to be a never ending line of vehicles there talking with her ?
Better to be safe than sorry
[quote=runnow]i think one important thing is the phone/email. you can do wonders with virtual machines and throw away phones.
never meet a woman who you have not seen a picture of and has never been reviewed. if you show up and it is not her. "oh, i must have the wrong room" if you are in a room when a bust goes down, make them prove what has taken place. it is probably wise to book early in the day or tour. getting references can be a problem but once you have seen a few well know ladies make sure you stay in touch.
it is difficult to be 100% safe but some of the other more escort oriented websites have guys and ladies who are practically professionals.[/quote]your suggestions are worth noting; however, i would still contend that visiting an independent is equivalent to taking a chance in losing the sting lottery.
in a sting, the environment is controlled by le. on the street, there is still risk but you control your own environment to a great degree. if you are observant and careful on the street you will avoid obvious stings, if just to observe a simple rule and say nothing incriminating until the sw gets in and you are well underway and certain there is no le backup tail. this is not true in a hotel room where there can be surveillance to and from and even in the room and recorded evidence will hold up in court. even an independent already known to you or exactly the picture in her ad could have been turned by le in return for immunization from or leniency regarding other charges. this is a very common le sting ploy to catch "regulars," and spread the sting net very wide. read the folowing from a research piece by frazier on the subject of sting operations in general: "almost all sting operations result in either arrests or convictions, many of them startling (one reported 700 arrests), with very high conviction rates ranging from 70 percent to 95 percent." there may be all sorts of ways to avoid this by being extra specially careful, but i wouldn't bet against the odds.
do you recall the "sting" operations conducted on tv to catch internet predators of **** girls and boys supposedly home alone? they had printouts of the computer communication and a good computer expert could trace it to your computer regardless of how you hid it. plus, these guys were all arrested on the spot, most after admitting nothing, and just for showing up at the appointed time and place! very few if any of them admitted to a thing. but that didn't matter. you would have to have your computer contact with the independent escort be totally untraceable, your telephone contact likewise (including the manner in which you purchased a throwaway phone), and you would have to make sure you didn't bring the phone with you or keep it in a place which could be found after a search warrant were issued. plus you would have to make sure your computer was clean of all incriminating evidence and a damn good reason why you "just happened" to make a mistake going to the "wrong room" at precisely the room and time you were expected? and is your alibi as to the "right room" in that hotel solid (assuming you even have the discipline to do this if a really good looking girl answers the door, even if she isn't the one pictured)? and suppose it is the girl pictured in her ad or you have even been with her before and she has been turned. will you be aware enough to know this? can you do all of the above? do you want to do all of the above? every time you see an independent? and even if you can beat the rap and get off being convicted, do you want to have an arrest record for a sex offense? as for me, i will take my chances on the street.
RE: Better to be safe than sorry
Wow, Supereloquent! I think you might have ruined my reason to go see an escort or independant. Which I didn't think was possible. I assumed the chances of getting caught were about the same, whether I was on the street or using an escort.
A couple things you point out that I took note to. When LE set up a sting, they are putting together resources (Money) to clean up a particular area or hotel ("get results"). Probably due to complaints. This would be their motivation, I assume. For that reason, once they do set up the sting (effort), they are less prone to let you go/slap your wrist because they have to produce results (clean things up). So they have survelance, recordings, phone logs, etc. to prove their case.
On the street, they patrol, but they don't necessarily have to produce results. They are on a beat just keeping the place safe (patroling). If you're not around a lot, repeat offendor, and respect their authority, they might let you go with a warning.
Also, picking up someone, driving around, etc in itself is not against the law. On the street, you have to pick up right in front of LE, negotiate with undercover outside of car, or get caught in act for them to have a good case.
I didn't even think about known escorts that might turn me in to get immunity or lighter sentence. Also, they all require that you unblock calls. So unless using a throw away phone, there is a record that they have of you using their services, which doesn't go away.
Saw this article in the news, which is amazingly timely: [url]http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/metropolitan/6318384.html[/url]
This escort service was in Houston. They think that she has thousands of clients from doctors, lawyers, athletes, etc. All of them rich. The owner of the service did everything to keep from getting caught. She would only deal with the rich. You had to be invited to be in the inner circle. You would have to go through her own check. They preferred outcall so that it didn't create traffic in the neighborhood. The couple operated out of the home, but didn't change their standard of living. Also done so that they would not draw attention.
Even with all the checks and balances they had in place, the couple was turned in by one of her girls (obviously for a lighter sentence). The LE were patient and watch them for a year. LE also made all kinds of recording. After shutting down the business, LE took the computers/phone/etc and now of all the clients.
Too much of a trail. Didn't think about it that much before, but now I have a better idea.
Good discussion.
Thanks
Holly and Duke, a love story :-)
[QUOTE=DukePV]Dear [b]Holly[/b],So since you are a regular reader of this forum that's why I'm writing this report in letter form. Besides, I'm always looking for ways to present information in a fun and different way.[/QUOTE]Yes you do, Duke, yes you do. Outstanding report, as usual. As someone who's been posting here since 2002, I know Duke to be the author of several of the best, most memorable reports I've ever read on USASexGuide. We don't hear from him much anymore (or from OldDog another great Philly poster), but when we do it's always "in a fun and different way."
As for Holly I'd ask her to respond and give us the SW perspective on things. We don't hear that often enough and I for one always appreciate it. As for busting poor Duke as a visitor to this site, yeah that's one that always catches me off guard on the rare times a girl has brought the subject up. I always play dumb and have never admitted knowing anything about it. But with someone like Holly I'm sure I would enjoy hearing her take on our ravings and reviews.
Answered My own Question...?
[QUOTE=Vin Wal]By the way I know one of you mongers had to talk with her what was the story with the Cute Young Blond on lettery last night, I tried to do the pick-up but someone was always there talking with here, but never got picked up, I guess she was waiting for a appointment or something I tried 6 times last night but seemed to be a never ending line of vehicles there talking with her ?[/QUOTE]Ok I Think I answered my own Question here, The Cute Young Blond with a hoodie, may of been Johanna, and was waiting for a ride to her CL appointment...!!!
(Originally Posted by Zaphod II
What do you guys think?)
[QUOTE]"Seems someone is starting a new business with the gals from the Ave. Take a look at the following Ad's, I'm not 100% sure they are the same people but I'm almost positive they are.
Johanna:
CL Ad:
[url]http://philadelphia.craigslist.org/ers/1088101808.html[/url]
USA Photo:
[url]http://www.usasexguide.info/forum/a...achmentid=71858[/url]
Holly:
CL Ad:
[url]http://philadelphia.craigslist.org/ers/1078224640.html[/url]
USA Photo:
[url]http://www.usasexguide.info/forum/a...achmentid=71986[/url]
Having met up with Holly in the past week I questioned her about the ad and she confirmed that yes she "was" working for someone who was posting but now has left that persons employment, however this person continues to use the pictures.
What do you guys think?
Z "[/QUOTE]
The K Ave. Has gone to the Dogs
Made a pass on the K this morning, WoW was there alot of Leo with K-9 Dogs going into cars they had pulled over, Did not stick around!