RE: future of strip clubs
[QUOTE=Slicker;4736751]I cannot help but think of the long-term effects this pandemic may have on the strip club economy. It's not far-fetched in my mind that the industry could die.
From a consumer perspective, it's hard to imagine strip clubs recovering faster than its consumer base's ability to replenish disposable income. Which may happen long after clubs reopen, assuming some don't collapse before they can reopen. From a talent perspective, I'd expect many will get forced out if the upside significantly shrinks due to a much smaller money pool. From an owner perspective, this also means less revenue through cover charges, taxing dancers, and alcohol sales. Do the margins become thin enough to force many of these clubs to close?
I'm likely missing something in this equation. Am I nuts here? Am I over-thinking this?[/QUOTE]I think you're over-thinking it. The predicted death toll has already been downgraded from 200,000 to less than 40,000 nationwide, and will likely further decrease as the case numbers decline.
As far as the clubs go, I think the recovery will take until at least Christmas because once everyone goes back to work most people are facing overdue bills of all kinds. Mortage payments, rent payments, car payments, credit card payments, etc. Having fun money to spend at the strip clubs will be in short supply. Also, many employers see the cost savings of a stay-at-home workforce so the majority of them won't return to a full payroll in awhile and a decent chunk of people will remain unemployed. Plus, there is already threats of a rebound pandemic wave hitting us in the fall. So add it all up and it looks rough until December and hopefully a return to normal by early next year.
However, if there is a serious 2nd wave hitting us at the end of the year then all bets are off. Another two-month lock down would be fatal for many businesses. I'd say at least half of all clubs will close permanently if that happens.
Now back to the coronavirus. Hahahaha
[QUOTE=AaronHamlet;4742775]I know how to properly calculate percentages and don't have to multiply by 100. I use the % function on calculator, put in two number sets and hit enter. Works every time.
Tests are to diagnose. Good for sound bites, spread fear, but don't do much as an overall data point. Like you said, test aren't accurate one way or the other. I believe 70% accuracy is deemed acceptable. Who gets tested? Those presenting symptoms, those within a set baseline of symptoms? Those who want to get tested but aren't sick? Where are tests taking place? NY, NJ, La. , Detroit or in the middle of nowhere Idaho, Montana? The death rate from China Virus is nowhere near 4%. To date, 4% of confirmed cases may die, but the number of confirmed cases, that denominator is unknown. That's why I didn't use it as a factor. There could be 30,40, 50% of all carrying the virus and don't even know it.
Of course, 'don't catch it. ' If you're over 60 and / or obese, diabetic, pre-diabetic, cancer, you need to be careful. Still not death sentence. If you're under 60 and healthy, do what you want. Georgia has had 20 deaths from China virus in those under 60 and healthy. Horrible thing, but 20 out of approx. 9 million isn't a high risk. I'd bet much more die from suicide, murder, car wrecks, accidents, O. D. 's.
Asymptomatic individuals passing the virus to others is a concern if those it's passed to are 60+ and / or bad sick to start with. Even then not a death sentence. Healthy asymptomatic young people passing the virus to other healthy people isn't much of a concern. It's actually a good thing. Healthy person has virus, their body beats it, then they pass along a weakened version of virus. That person beats it, they pass along an even weakened version onto the next, then onto the next and the next and the next. That's how virus' disappear. The healthy among us, those not targeted, defeat them. That's why all humans weren't killed by previous pandemics[/QUOTE]To date 608,458 CONFIRMED case in the USA, and 25,992 deaths equals 0. 0427178 or 4. 271%. And 0. 0427178 is vastly different than 0. 0427178%.
Some of the things that you say are logical. The bottom line is, we don't have a clue regarding this virus. It IS similar to the flu, but it's attack on the cells of the lungs are more vicious. The flu has many strands, so who's to say that the corornavirus doesn't have different strands. Viruses are spread when they are active. One person doesn't weaken it for the next person. When your kid gets the chicken pox, expect them to be afflicted for at least a week. But if they get the chicken pox vaccine, and if they DO get the chicken pox, the case may be less severe.
Warning: Do not leave your homes you trembling kuntz and dumb fucks
The nasty ass bat/rat/ cat/dog eating chinese have unleashed yet another novel virus onto the planet. Covid-19 has killed a whopping 20 healthy georgians under the age of 60. It ravages the nation leaving a trail of death and destruction that has taken the lives of 0.008125% of all americans. Shelter in place you assorted dumbasses and trembling kuntz. Do not bang a hooker. Hoard toilet paper now or you will die with shit stained drawers and stinking fingers. Bow down to the dept. Of pandemania you ignorant trembling kuntz and assorted dumbasses.
