You want to try this again?
[QUOTE=Concupiscent69;4841764]Stay tuned. You may be receiving a PM from the member you replied calling you a liar, you're wrong and any other attempts to defraud your comments.[/QUOTE]English is my native language and I have no idea what you're saying. If you're saying I'm wrong, I didn't say anything, I put up a report by the CDC, the doctors at the CDC said it, I didn't. I just repeated what it said.
99.74% overall survival rate, that's not my number, that's the CDC's number. I guess if you have the credentials and access to the data you could write to them and show them the error of their ways and when they release a corrected report we can go from there but as of today it's a 99.74% overall survival rate.
A2.
Re: Chances of infection and recovery from Covid-19
[QUOTE=Lamarr;4842331]Numbers posted here are very. Unique.
My role in a large multi-state hospital system has me looking at metrics daily, which I've been doing since early March. We're in communication with the CDC, FEMA, and other agencies and other hospital systems as well.
IF you get Covid, there's a 15% chance of hospitalization.
Once you are in, there's a 20% chance of getting into an ICU and a 5. 7% chance of death.
People describe this virus as like the flu; a better description is like polio. You could be fine, but you could have a long recovery, and in many cases, especially if you wind up in a hospital, "recovery" statistics means long term damage.
Remember, this virus has no effective treatment (although remdisivir and also some steroids are showing some promise). Get it and you're playing Russian Roulette.
The CDC model of infection rate for a specific area is a good measure for modeling congruent with reopening via the CDC Playbook. Coming out of Phase 2 or Phase 3 too early results in increased infections (hello Florida and Texas).[/QUOTE]What the skeptics overlook is that the danger of infection is not limited to oneself; since the symptoms do not present for two weeks (or never), you risk infecting everyone you contact until such time as you have tested positive and quarantined. By that time, it may be too late to help whatever friend or family members you have exposed to the virus. Sure, maybe you recover with "only" 50% diminution of lung capacity, but maybe your spouse or your parents don't survive at all.