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07-24-20 21:25 #1455
Posts: 310Originally Posted by PleasePal [View Original Post]
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07-24-20 14:20 #1454
Posts: 36Originally Posted by Galaxie [View Original Post]
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07-23-20 21:48 #1453
Posts: 306Prostate Exam
Originally Posted by ChastD1959 [View Original Post]
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07-23-20 18:35 #1452
Posts: 455Digital Prostrate Exam
Originally Posted by MidMichGeezer [View Original Post]
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07-23-20 14:54 #1451
Posts: 81Short stay No-tel
Does anybody still use short stay no-tels in the Lansing area? Some of the incall locations these girls have are pretty shady. I think in some situations it would be safer to pick her up, go to hotel. Less chance of rip-off or trouble. Are there any left in our area? Or if anybody has another routine, let us know.
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05-08-20 08:38 #1450
Posts: 455Bad news, guys.
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05-01-20 10:43 #1449
Posts: 1121Originally Posted by MidMichGeezer [View Original Post]
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05-01-20 09:50 #1448
Posts: 306Prostate play
I have a Drs. Appointment today. And although I don't typically go for prostate play, I don't think I would mind too much if she stuck a finger up my butt and wiggled it around a little bit. I think even that would feel good after a 6 week absence of a massage.
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04-13-20 18:47 #1447
Posts: 981Originally Posted by Admin2 [View Original Post]
AGE.
DEATH RATE.
All cases.
80+ years old. 14.8%.
70-79 years old. 8. 0%.
60-69 years old. 3. 6%.
50-59 years old. 1. 3%.
40-49 years old. 0. 4%.
30-39 years old. 0. 2%.
20-29 years old. 0. 2%.
10-19 years old. 0. 2%.
I took out the confirmed cases because the only one that had anything is the 80+. So out of curiosity (because I also look at a lot of these number and think WTF! I took some of this info and looked up some other things. Such as US population demographics.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demogr..._United_States
And found this.
0-14 years: 18.62% (male 31,255,995/ female 29,919,938).
15-24 years: 13.12% (male 22,213,952/ female 21,137,826).
25-54 years: 39.29% (male 64,528,673/ female 64,334,499).
55-64 years: 12.94% (male 20,357,880/ female 21,821,976).
65 years and over: 16.03% (male 22,678,235/ female 28,376,817).
Well shit, this isn't broken down into the same categories as above, so I did some finagling and just said let's assume an even distribution amongst the age ranges given. So I spread those out and came up with something like.
1 4,369,710.
13 4,369,710.
14 4,369,710.
15 4,335,178.
16 4,335,178.
24 4,335,178.
25 4,295,439.
26 4,295,439.
And so on.
I actually capped it off at 85 and jsut spread the 65+ amongst that. Maybe high, and if so fine, we can lower it overall and spread more to the lower 60/70 group, but then I summed that up into this.
High age, mortality, total pop, # dead.
9 0 39,327,385.50 0.
19 0. 2 43,524,436.50 87,048. 87.
29 0. 2 43,153,084.33 86,306. 17.
39 0. 2 42,954,390.67 85,908. 78.
49 0. 4 42,954,390.67 171,817. 56.
59 1. 3 42,567,123.33 553,372. 60.
69 3. 6 33,245,892.76 1,196,852. 14.
79 8 24,311,929.52 1,944,954. 36.
89 14.8 14,587,157.71 2,158,899. 34.
Total # dead: 6,285,159 if everyone in the US instantly got it according to those stats.
I am NOT trying to say this is anything other than a numbers game based on the info given.
I mean there is a shit ton of stuff not accounted for, but this is assuming everyone in the US got it and had the rates listed in the link. There's a lot of factors not accounted for. Like you said, how many are asymptomatic, because we don't really have a # on that yet, so what do we ant to say, half? Ok, that's still 3 M potential deaths, quarter? Ok, still over a million. Seems crazy, but again just giving #'s and not trying to point out anything other than #'s as you were. We also aren't accounting for pre existing conditions, I. E. Heart disease, whcih I have. I have basically all of the issues except diabetes and I'm not yet over 60. So I googled "how many people have cardiovascular disease" and came up with 28.2 M, well at 10.5% in that category that's 2. 9 M deaths if they all got it and ifit matches the mortality rate given on the page you linked. Personally I'm a little skittish at 10% chance of death, especially given I has asthma and high blood pressure. Crap.
I'm actually somewhat in your boat as a business owner, Iw ant to get shit back to normal. Along what you were saying of putting the people who are most at risk in fancy hotels or whatever. I'm open to something like that, but who's going to care for them as a lot of the elderly do need. Who's going to bring them their food, e tc. All of this stuff could be answered I'm sure if people were willing to sit down and figure shit out. As far as the # of deaths in the US each day. Those are deaths that are already in the equation. A novel virus brings something new to the equation, so yes, you could argue that a portion of all these people would die anyway, true statement, but what portion? I don't know.
Again, not sure if it's because your admin or what that no one wants to respond. I think based on the link you gave me that you do have your math wrong and as I said, I'm not against you. I want this shit to end, really do. I am in several of the risk categories and overall I've been cooped up at home more than I care to be but in the end, seriously, if it's my time to go then I accept it to a certain degree. I'll be fairly safe as I can, but I'm also going to live my life some. I've seen 2 girls since the lockdown, I admit it. Do I regret it? Not yet. LOL Maybe in 2 weeks I will.
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04-12-20 22:29 #1446
Posts: 4923Ok, grade my homework
Originally Posted by PleasePal [View Original Post]
This data is from the Italian Public Health ministry compiled from the cases they had. Not China mind you, I don't really trust their data.
In the age groups 10-40 the mortality rate of C-19 is. 02% that means out of every 100,000 people with confirmed cases in those age groups 20 will die.
https://www.worldometers.info/corona...x-demographics
Further the Italian medical authorities found that 99% of those that did die had pre-existing conditions, diabetes, obesity, asthma, heart disease, something like that. So that means that if we back that up to 90% (give it a margin of error) that of those 20 who died 2 of them wouldn't have had an underlying health risk.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...ess-italy-says
To represent that graphically the picture attached is the new River Plate stadium in the city of Buenos Aires Argentina. It's "official capacity" is 70,000 but since we are a third world country they routinly pack more than that into it. The most people who have ever been here was a super classico between River and Boca Jr's at 102,000 people. Using the numbers genuine, bone fide experts in the medical field if this stadium was packed to standing room only capacity of people between the ages of 10 and 40 and each and every one of them had been tested and was confirmed to have a real, honest to god, no shit, no fooling case of Covid 19 then exactly two of them would die not having underlying conditions.
Seriously, 2 people. Before you answer, this isn't Red Sox and Yankees the economy of the fucking world is in balance, you can look at the data and change your mind and start demanding change. Let's put the old people up in super luxury hotels and feed them caviar omelettes and give them foot rubs until there is a vaccine. I'm not saying they should die.
8,200 people a day die in the US every day. 3,000,000 people every year, if 100,000 more die from C-19 then it's only a 3% increase. This hysteria has to stop.
Oh, and if you filled the stadium up with people from 40-50 then 40 of them would die and 4 without underlying conditions.
If they were 50-60 (my group) 100 would did and 10 of them would have been healthy when they caught it.
Seriously, 2 people, that's not bullshit, you can run the numbers yourself if you can stop wagging your fingers long enough to do it.
A2.
One last thing, that .02% number is based on deaths from confirmed cases, it doesn't factor in asymptomatic cases that will only really be discovered with an antibody test. I can't show any data so I didn't put it n the above but I am a betting man and I'm going to say that when it's all said and done, if you filled that entire stadium with people between the ages of 10-40 and all of them had a confirmed case of C-19 then 5 of them total would die and you would have to put 200,000 people in their until you got 1 person who died but didn't have an underlying condition.
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04-10-20 00:54 #1445
Posts: 70I hate to lecture but.
Originally Posted by XxxParty [View Original Post]
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04-07-20 10:37 #1444
Posts: 455Tryst. Link
Originally Posted by BigDdy123 [View Original Post]
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04-06-20 23:39 #1443
Posts: 26Quick question
Hey fellow mongers, I recently saw a girl who told me that she got into the biz at the suggestion of a friend. She told me that her friend advertises on a site other than Skipthegames. I should have asked her at the time what the other site was but I was a little preoccupied. It seems that Skipthegames is full of nothing but scams and thieves right now so I was just wondering what other legit sites are out there? I couldn't find anything with a Google search. If you want to PM me that'd be great, I'm just tired of STG. Thanks.
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04-05-20 12:11 #1442
Posts: 31All Clear
It appears the concern for our and our families health is exaggerated. Layla the flat backer has done her homework and she is giving us the all clear, this is being overblown and she's ready to roll.
Be safe out there, listen to the health professionals.
http://lansing.skipthegames.com/fema...i/997856472194
Party.
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03-12-20 20:07 #1441
Posts: 233Originally Posted by Jp1225 [View Original Post]