My prediction from a few months ago
[QUOTE=ProCatHunter;5713672]Is rampant in all the big cities. Once the Fed raises interest rates and student loan payments get turned back on, there is likely to be a big influx of SBs, and a big outflow of Bitcoin bro, stonk apes, and NTF traders from the bowl.
Numbers for SBs have been down significantly since they can live at home with their parents and don't need to pay back loans. The numbers for young Guys who have no concept of money will also drop considerably once they realize that their aren't baby buffets but rather they have been drinking from the trough of massive central bank liquidity.
I'm thinking that May 2022 we'll start to see significant numbers of SBs come back to the bowl (plus weather will be nicer and seasonal COVID fears reduced). Good happy hunting until then.[/QUOTE]Like I said a few months ago, now that COVID is no longer a thing, interest rates are higher, and the Bitcoin bros / nft traders / stonk apes are broke, prices are down. The administration kicked mongers in the nuts by rolling over student loan deferment further into the future and giving a $10 k freebie to all students making under $125 k, but with labor force participation being in the toilet, things have got to change after the midterm elections.
Real world inflation is here, and the administration needs to do something to fix it. Just like I said that things would start to get better in the bowl by 5/2021, my new prediction is that deflation will hit the sugar bowl hard in 2023/2024. Simple law of supply and demand. Layoffs are coming and too many companies overhired at salaries that aren't sustainable. With fed funds rates pushing 4%, the economy is going to get kicked in the nuts.
SDs who have the means to play in the bow next year are likely going to be crushing it.
Lots of gps but allowances are dropping faster than the panties
[QUOTE=Mcsylv;6116429]Have you personally talked to any SB's who complain they can't get as much allowance as 2020/2021 anymore? We see it from the guy's side, but there's still those GPS girls asking for 1 k ppm.
Besides the one girl who negotiated herself down accidentally because she forgot the convo, not sure if you've seen it elsewhere from the girl's side.[/QUOTE]Girls aren't complaining to me but I've noticed a few things:
1. Profiles that wouldn't have given me the time of day in 2021 are responding. I take that as a signal that inboxes are getting less full.
2. In 2021/2020, I couldn't open with a "My prior sugar arrangement started with a $300/300 ppm" line when messaging ladies. I'd get immediately blocked or left on read. I'm regularly receiving responses that counter now. It's a sure sign that either more ladies are entering the bowl, or there are fewer SDs, or likely a combination of both.
3. More than a few profiles that I had favorited a few years back but had disappeared because they were deactivated popped back up again. Likely because their former SDs dropped them, or because the ladies are looking for additional funds, or a combination of both.
No doubt there are lots of girls still asking for $1 k+ ppm. Based on my experience, there always were and likely always will be. I'm finding that they are starting to become more of an outlier, when about a year or two back, they were starting to be the norm. Now, I'll occasionally find a ppm in the $200/250 range. Again, very much not the norm, but that amount of allowance would've earned me a block in January 2021.
The sugar bowl is watching pure capitalism work at its best. The law of supply and demand regulates better than anything else.
The Sugar Oracle has spoken
[QUOTE=ProCatHunter;6116309]Like I said a few months ago, now that COVID is no longer a thing, interest rates are higher, and the Bitcoin bros / nft traders / stonk apes are broke, prices are down. The administration kicked mongers in the nuts by rolling over student loan deferment further into the future and giving a $10 k freebie to all students making under $125 k, but with labor force participation being in the toilet, things have got to change after the midterm elections.
Real world inflation is here, and the administration needs to do something to fix it. Just like I said that things would start to get better in the bowl by 5/2021, my new prediction is that deflation will hit the sugar bowl hard in 2023/2024. Simple law of supply and demand. Layoffs are coming and too many companies overhired at salaries that aren't sustainable. With fed funds rates pushing 4%, the economy is going to get kicked in the nuts.
SDs who have the means to play in the bow next year are likely going to be crushing it.[/QUOTE]Nice predictions before. Agree with you more now. Seeing a "reinflux" of folks. Had an old SB drop on me out of the blue. Yep, still asking for too much but I'll go with it for a bit cause she's fun to play with. My experience stretches back to the "Great Recession" period and mongering well before that during the mortgage crisis. The "Golden Years" - likely going to see similar kind of things when the jobs / salaries dry up and inflation goes up, the quality goes up (no options pay better / need overrides sentiment) and prices go down (inflation adjusted). Good thing for me is my type of business / work is pretty insulated from ups / downs- its the corporate equivalent of medication for us civilian folks, just got to hope I can continue to adjust for inflation and we don't see hyper inflation. I am reminded of the blessing / curse dichotomy - "May you live in interesting times".